The legendary investor Warren Buffett is obviously someone worth keeping tabs on if you want to see one of the world's greatest investors at work. Although Buffett is well into his 90s, he has still been very much active over at his company Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B) this year.

So what can we learn from Buffett's 2022 moves here on the ASX?

Well, let's check out how Buffett has been managing his cash over the year that (almost) was.

So according to a comprehensive analysis of Buffett's moves from our Fool colleagues over in the US, Buffett made several big moves in Berkshire's portfolio this year.

Buffett's Berkshire bets big on oil

Amongst his bigger bets was a massive increase in Berkshire's exposure to oil. Berkshire already owned significant chunks of oil giants Chevron and Occidental Petroleum. But Buffett more than quadrupled Berkshire's stake in Chevron in 2022, growing the company into Berkshire's fourth-largest position. He also boosted Occidental's position significantly as well.

So Buffett clearly thinks the oil space is one well worth investing in for 2023 and beyond. This might not bode well for motorists in the new year.

Another sector Buffett has apparently been focusing on in 2022 is tech. Buffett has famously been slow on the uptake when it comes to tech shares. He barely owned any tech stocks until 2016. But that was when Berkshire started buying Apple.

A combination of aggressive buying and a ballooning Apple stock price has resulted in Apple now being the largest holding in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio. And by a mile too.

Berkshire's tech portfolio is expanding

Buffett hasn't bought too much more of Apple in 2022. but he has been loading up on two other tech stocks: HP and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) HP is a dominant manufacturer of printers and PCs. he reportedly purchased a chunk of HP when it was sitting at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 6, so this looks like a classic value play.

His purchase of TSMC is more interesting. TSMC is by far the most dominant manufacturer of advanced semiconductor chips in the world, with more than half the world's market share. It's Buffett's first foray into the world of semiconductors, but one he has built out aggressively.

His purchase of more than US$4 billion worth of TSMC stock has made this company into Berkshire's tenth-largest position today.

So what can we ASX 200 investors learn from Buffett's 2022 moves?

Well, it's pretty obvious that Buffett is still betting big on oil and tech – specifically semiconductors. Unfortunately, the ASX doesn't have much in the way of semiconductor stocks. But there are plenty of oil and energy shares, including Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) to choose from.

The post What can ASX 200 investors learn from Warren Buffett's big moves in 2022? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Warren Buffett has been making a bold bet on oil prices over the past year. His company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B), has been buying shares of oil giants Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) hand over fist to capitalize on the rise in crude prices.     

While oil prices have cooled off on fears that we're about to enter a global recession, that slump has reversed recently thanks to OPEC. The group of oil-producing nations has surprisingly agreed to cut its production by a whopping 2 million barrels per day, giving crude prices a lift. That should provide a boost to Buffett's oil stocks in the future. 

Taking matters into their own hands

Oil prices have been on a wild ride this year. The price for Brent crude, the global benchmark variety, started 2022 below $80 a barrel. It soon spiked to more than $120 a barrel following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. It remained in the triple digits well into the summer before cooling off on concerns that the global economy was starting to slow. Brent recently bottomed out in the low $80s.

However, it surged above $90 a barrel on rumors that OPEC was about to cut its production. While initial reports suggested the group, along with other nations collectively known as OPEC+, would slash their output by 1 million barrels per day, they have since agreed to an even deeper reduction of 2 million barrels per day. It's an astonishing development considering that analysts believe the market might not have enough oil supply to meet demand. 

The cut should at least put a firm floor under oil prices. Meanwhile, it sets crude up to rally sharply if there's an unexpected supply issue or demand doesn't cool, as many anticipate in a global recession.

Giving Buffett a helping hand

Stable to rising crude prices should be a boon to Buffett's oil holdings. Berkshire Hathaway has gobbled up more than 163.5 million shares of Chevron, equal to 8.4% of the oil giant's outstanding shares. That position is worth over $25 billion, making it Buffett's third-largest stock holding at 8% of his portfolio.   

Meanwhile, Buffett took advantage of a decline in Occidental Petroleum's stock price last month as oil prices cooled off to buy another 6 million shares. He now holds 20.9% of the company's outstanding shares. That position is currently worth nearly $13 billion. Buffett has regulatory approval to take that position up to 50% in the future.

Chevron has capitalized on rising crude prices this year. It produced $21.8 billion of cash flow from operations during the first half, nearly double the $11.2 billion it generated during that same period last year. That gave it the funds to boost its investments in traditional and new energy by 50%, increase its dividend for the 35th straight year, raise the top end of its share repurchase range to $15 billion, and pay down additional debt.

Chevron's cash flow ebbs and flows with oil prices. Because of that, it will likely see a boost from OPEC's move to bolster crude prices. That would give it more money to allocate toward creating value for shareholders.

Occidental Petroleum is in the same boat. It has cashed in on higher oil prices this year. It generated a record $4.2 billion of free cash in the second quarter alone. That gave it the funds to repay more than $8 billion of debt by May, quickly exceeding its target. This achievement gave Occidental the confidence to significantly increase its dividend and launch a $3 billion share repurchase program while setting an additional $5 billion debt reduction target. 

The oil company is more likely to be able to repay debt and return capital to shareholders at a faster rate now that OPEC is making this surprising move to support oil prices. This catalyst could fuel a continued surge in Occidental's share price this year.

Boosting Buffett's bold oil bets

OPEC has had enough of crude's recent slide. That's evident in its surprising decision to slash its output by 2 million barrels per day. This move could drive oil prices higher in the coming months.

That likely rebound should be a boon to Buffett's oil investments because it will enable Chevron and Occidental Petroleum to generate more cash. They can use those funds to reduce debt and return more money to investors, which should help boost their stock prices. That unexpected intervention makes Buffett's oil stock bets look like they'll continue to pay off.  

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The post Warren Buffett is getting a helping hand from a surprising source appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Warren Buffett has been buying shares of oil giant Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) hand over fist these days. His company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B), recently bought another 5.99 million shares, boosting its stake to 20.9%. Buffett took advantage of the recent slide in oil prices and Occidental Petroleum's stock to increase Berkshire's position in one of its top 10 holdings in late September.  

While oil is the primary focus of Buffett's bold bet on Occidental Petroleum, it's likely not the only thing he sees in the company. Most investors have overlooked that Occidental is a leader in carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), a process that captures carbon dioxide and sequesters the greenhouse gas underground. Occidental sees it as a $3 trillion to $5 trillion future global market opportunity. It could one day supply the company with as much earnings and cash flow as its current oil and gas business.   

That potentially massive market opportunity is leading the company to continue taking strides to capitalize on the upside it sees ahead. This strategy could give the oil stock the fuel to deliver big-time returns for Buffett in the coming years.  

Securing another potential partnership

Occidental Petroleum has been securing partners to pursue a wide array of CCS opportunities. Its latest one is with Western Midstream Partners (NYSE: WES), a master limited partnership (MLP) it used to control. The partners signed a letter of intent to pursue opportunities to produce and deliver low-carbon intensity oil and gas products. 

Occidental will explore installing carbon capture facilities on its upstream oil and gas activities in the Texas Delaware and Colorado DJ Basins. Meanwhile, Western Midstream will explore installing carbon capture facilities on its natural gas plants and other major gathering and treating facilities. Western would also explore providing carbon dioxide transportation services from those capture facilities to Occidental's carbon dioxide delivery facilities. The companies intend to consider providing carbon management services to other emitters interested in reducing their emissions.

This partnership can potentially reduce the emissions of Occidental Petroleum's oil and gas production in the Delaware and DJ Basins, enabling it to market net-zero output. Meanwhile, it could supply Western Midstream with a stable source of cash flow as it transports carbon dioxide to Occidental's facilities.   

Building out a robust solution

That partnership is the latest in a string of agreements Occidental has signed this year to build its CCS business. It's creating an end-to-end solution that can manage the entire lifecycle of carbon.

In late August, the company started construction on the world's largest direct air capture (DAC) plant in Texas' Permian Basin. Once operational in 2024, the plant can capture up to 500,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide per year, with the potential to scale up to 1 million metric tons in the future. That's one of 70 DAC facilities the company intends to deploy worldwide by 2035. 

Occidental has already signed commercial contracts to support that first facility. Aerospace leader Airbus has agreed to purchase 400,000 tons of carbon removal credits over four years with an option to secure more volume in the future. Meanwhile, SK Trading will buy up to 200,000 barrels of net-zero oil for five years, supported by the carbon dioxide removed from the atmosphere in Occidental's first DAC. 

The company has also secured several other midstream partners to help it transport captured carbon to sequestration and utilization sites. It signed a deal with Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD) to explore a potential carbon dioxide transportation and sequestration solution for the Texas Gulf Coast. Enterprise would use a combination of new and existing pipelines to support the project. Meanwhile, Occidental signed a similar agreement with EnLink Midstream (NYSE: ENLC), focusing on the Mississippi River corridor from Waggaman to Baton Rouge, Louisiana. EnLink would also use new and existing pipelines to transport the captured carbon. 

Finally, the company has been locking up underground pore space suitable to sequester carbon. It has leased more than 30,000 acres of subsurface pore space from leading timberland REIT Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY) in Louisiana. Weyerhaeuser will continue to manage the forest while receiving fees for leasing the pore space to Occidental. The company signed a similar deal with Manulife Investment Management to lease 27,000 acres of timberland in Western Louisiana for a potential carbon sequestration hub. 

The overlooked upside potential of Buffett's top oil pick

Most investors see Buffett's continued buying of Occidental Petroleum stock as a bet on oil prices. While that's certainly the case, investors shouldn't overlook the enormous upside potential of the company's emerging CCS business. It could provide a big boost for Buffett's investment in the coming years if the market develops as Occidental anticipates.   

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The post This top Warren Buffett stock has enormous overlooked upside potential appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.