Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Arafura share price hit a 52-week high a few weeks ago
  • Since then, its shares have lost over 20% of their value
  • Bell Potter believes this is a buying opportunity for investors

The Arafura Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: ARU) share price is under pressure on Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the rare earths developer's shares are down 5% to 53.5 cents.

This means the Arafura share price has now dropped almost 24% since hitting a 52-week high less than a month ago.

This has been driven by concerns over comments out of electric vehicle giant Tesla, which revealed plans to phase out rare earths from future vehicles.

And while this decline is disappointing, it could prove to be a great buying opportunity for investors.

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices

Image source: Getty Images

Broker tips major upside for Arafura share price

According to a recent note out of Bell Potter, its analysts have described the Tesla-induced selloff as "a knee jerk reaction."

As a result, it recently upgraded its shares to a speculative buy rating with a 72 cents price target. Based on the current Arafura share price, this implies potential upside of almost 35% over the next 12 months.

The broker commented:

The recent 16% sell-off in ARU in reaction to the Tesla Investor Day presentation was a knee jerk reaction and in our view, was overdone. We maintain our valuation for ARU of $0.72/share and return to a Speculative BUY recommendation.

Bell Potter continues to believe that demand for rare earths will grow materially and support strong prices even without Tesla in the equation. It explains:

The result reduced our NdPr demand estimates by 10ktpa, which would still require the addition of 4.3x of Nolans capacity over the next 7 years. Given the scale, grade and advanced nature of the Nolans project we would still view this as a difficult task to achieve thus concluding price support for NdPr should be maintained.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

a woman
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares that inflation can't touch: expert

Regardless of whether you're a bull or a bear, cost pressures are a factor when buying stocks at the moment.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

These are the best ASX 200 mining shares to buy in March: Morgans

These mining shares are on Morgans' best ideas list in March.

Read more »

a woman
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Analysts believe that now could be the time to add these shares to your portfolio...

Read more »

A cute young girl wears a straw hat and has a backpack strapped on her back as she holds a globe in her hand with a cheeky smile on her face.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares have dumped 7% in 3 days. Should I buy?

Is the recent Qantas share price weakness a buying opportunity?

Read more »

a middle-aged woman holds up two fingers with a wide mouthed smile on her face and wide open eyes.
Share Fallers

'Top quality': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 shares to buy at a nice discount

These stocks are down but not out. One portfolio manager is convinced they'll make you richer in the long run.

Read more »

two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to rocket from same booming industry: expert

Most sectors will struggle when the economy slows down, but maybe not this one.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
Technology Shares

These ASX tech shares are buys: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs speaks very highly about these tech shares.

Read more »

A woman wearing a hard hat holds two sparking wires together as energy surges between them. representing the rising Li-S Energy share price today
Broker Notes

Down 15% in 2023, why AGL shares could continue to disappoint

Don't bet on AGL performing any better in the second half.

Read more »