Is the Santos share price being stifled by 'reckless' growth?

Santos has a number of new, multi-billion-dollar oil and gas projects in the pipeline.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Santos share price is in the green today
  • Activist investor Snowcap believes Santos should focus less on growth and more on returns to shareholders
  • Snowcap is concerned Santos’ new oil and gas projects don’t align with the global energy transition

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is up 1% during lunchtime trading.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) oil and gas company closed yesterday trading for $7.32 each. They are currently trading for $7.39 apiece.

The company's share price is faring better than the benchmark index which is 0.06% in the green at the time of writing.

Today's gain puts the Santos share price up 4% in 2023 so far.

But according to United Kingdom-based activist environmental, social and governance (ESG) investor Snowcap, investors should be seeing significantly higher returns.

Close up of a miner wearing a hard hat with a solemn look on his face, with an oil drill in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the activist investor worried about growth projects?

As The Australian Financial Review reports, Snowcap has labelled Santos' growth strategy, launched by CEO Kevin Gallagher in April 2021, as "misguided and reckless".

The activist investor believes a series of reforms could see Santos increase its value for shareholders by up to 50%.

Snowcap says Santos has "drastically underperformed" its international peers since 2021 by focusing on developing major new oil and gas projects rather than returning capital to shareholders. Snowcap also took aim at the $6 million bonus incentive for Gallagher, which is dependent on successfully rolling out new projects.

According to Snowcap partner Chris Kinnersley (quoted by the AFR):

Mr Gallagher originally led a successful turnaround at Santos based on many of the same principles that we are arguing for today, namely capital discipline. But the company's aggressive ramp-up in upstream growth spending has undone much of that good work.

The activist investor believes the Santos share price will suffer if the company doesn't address the risks from the ongoing global energy transition.

"We believe Santos must take urgent action to reduce its upstream capex, increase capital returns, and realign executive incentives," Snowcap said. "Doing so has the potential to unlock 30% [to] 50% upside in Santos' share price and materially improve the company's alignment with the energy transition."

Snowcap's admonishment comes just two days after prime minister Anthony Albanese announced the government's strong support for gas power in that energy transition.

"Gas in particular has a key role to play, as a flexible source of energy – providing peaking power today and continuing to provide firming and back-up power," he said.

Indeed, judging by the frantic demand to secure domestic gas supplies over the past year in Australia and across the globe, Santos' growth projects may not look quite so reckless and misguided once they come online and start producing revenue.

Santos share price snapshot

As you can see in the chart below, the Santos share price is down 5% over the past 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Worker inspecting oil and gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Down 12% in a week, has the Woodside share price got further to fall?

What’s going on with Woodside?

Read more »

A woman wearing a hard hat holds two sparking wires together as energy surges between them. representing the rising Li-S Energy share price today
Broker Notes

Down 15% in 2023, why AGL shares could continue to disappoint

Don't bet on AGL performing any better in the second half.

Read more »

Miner on his tablet next to a mine site.
Energy Shares

Will the Pilbara Minerals share price crash in 2023?

Could 2023 be another year where the share price of Pilbara Minerals powers down?

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Energy Shares

The whopper Whitehaven dividend is being paid today. Here's what you need to know

Whitehaven investors are about to get their largest interim dividend ever.

Read more »

sad party goer sitting alone after celebration
Energy Shares

Is the party well and truly over for ASX 200 coal shares?

Can these coal miners dig themselves out of this hole?

Read more »

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site
Resources Shares

Uranium and gold: What are the best ASX shares to buy for these minerals?

Here are 4 best stocks to consider if you want to cash in on the big themes of 2023.

Read more »

oil and gas worker checks phone on site in front of oil and gas equipment
Energy Shares

Why is the Woodside share price wilting 7% on Wednesday?

Is something going on with Woodside shares today?

Read more »

a man holds his hand to his chin with a furrowed brow, making an expression of puzzlement or confusion.
Energy Shares

Why did the Woodside CEO just sell off over $200,000 worth of shares?

Is it OK when a CEO sells shares of their own company?

Read more »