Can the BHP share price keep rising or has it peaked?

Should you be betting on this mining giant's shares rising further from here?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been a very strong performer in recent months.

In fact, as you can see on the chart below, since this time six months ago, the Big Australian's shares are up 24%.

As a comparison, the benchmark ASX 200 index is up 7% over the same period. That's a cool 17% outperformance from this mining giant's shares.

a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the BHP share price keep climbing?

Unfortunately, one leading broker is calling time on the BHP share price gains.

Morgans has just released its best ideas list for February. These are the ASX shares that the broker thinks offer the highest risk-adjusted returns over a 12-month timeframe and are supported by a higher-than-average level of confidence. They are also its most preferred sector exposures.

But for the first time since March 2020, there is no BHP in the broker's best ideas list this month. It has been replaced with Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN).

According to the note, the broker made the move on valuation grounds after the aforementioned strong gain by the BHP share price. It also believes its earnings profile and trading conditions have softened recently.

In light of this, it has put a hold rating and $47.00 price target on the miner's shares. This price target is a touch lower than the current BHP share price of $48.10.

Commenting on the removal, Morgans said:

BHP remains in robust shape, but compared to mid-2022 its earnings profile, operating conditions and global macro conditions have all reduced. Despite this BHP continues to push to fresh record highs in terms of share price. As a result we are left believing BHP is trading moderately ahead of fundamentals and maintain our Hold rating with an upgraded A$47ps target.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords share is rocketing 20% on lithium battery news

Not all shares have been caught up in the market selloff.

Read more »

Female miner smiling in front of a mining vehicle as the Pilbara Minerals share price rises
Materials Shares

Down 24% in a month, is the Pilbara Minerals share price now a bargain buy?

Could this be a lithium lover's delight or are Pilbara shares fraught with danger?

Read more »

Female ASX travel shares investor with surprised expression drinks a cup of tea while reading the newspaper at her desk
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium share turned one sceptic into a bona fide believer

Green lithium extraction has changed the position of this lithium boom critic.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Materials Shares

Piedmont Lithium shares: 150% upside or big short opportunity?

Investors will need to wade through the muck to determine if Piedmont Lithium shares are a good buy right now.…

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
Dividend Investing

How to generate $20k of passive income from BHP shares

BHP could provide investors with a big pay check in 2023.

Read more »

shocked man with hands over his face with a declining graph in background representing falling CleanSpace share price
Materials Shares

Lynas share price resets 52-week low twice in one week

March has been a shocker for this ASX rare earths share.

Read more »

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up
Materials Shares

Piedmont Lithium share price sinks following short attack response

Piedmont Lithium has responded to a short seller attack on Friday.

Read more »