Why this fund manager sees tailwinds ahead for the Qantas share price

Despite customer grumblings over flight delays and missing baggage, Qantas has seen some really good earnings upgrades coming through.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Qantas share price has gained 14% in 2022
  • The airline has struggled with staffing issues as travel demand has come roaring back
  • Benefiting from higher ticket prices and soaring demand, Qantas balance sheet is rapidly improving

The Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price has been alternately battered and buoyed by fast-moving developments in the COVID pandemic.

Like every travel stock, the airline's shares were smashed in the early months of the outbreak. And like most travel stocks, the Qantas share price has also enjoyed some big moves higher amid the early vaccine rollouts and the more recent domestic and international border re-openings.

As travel numbers quickly rebounded, the airline – like airlines and airports the world over – has struggled with staffing issues. This has led to a spike in flight delays along with misplaced baggage. Which in turn led to Qantas receiving a rather unenviable Shonky Award from consumer advocacy group Choice earlier this month.

But that doesn't mean the Qantas share price couldn't fly significantly higher from here.

A woman holds her arms out as a plane flies overhead

Image source: Getty Images

Undervalued and in an earnings upgrade cycle

We recently spoke to Andrew Martin, principal of Alphinity Investment Management.

When running his slide rule over any potential S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares, Martin stresses the importance of earnings and investing in quality, undervalued companies in an earnings upgrade cycle.

As far as which ASX 200 shares fit that bill today, Martin said, "Qantas Airways is one of those. We've seen some really good earnings upgrades come through."

Acknowledging that the airline has had some teething issues getting back up to speed, he sees good growth potential for the Qantas share price.

According to Martin:

People have been grumbling about them, lost bags and delays and what have you. But the reality is that pricing is going up, there's very strong demand domestically and offshore. And there's just not a lot of capacity around.

So they are able to generate very good profits, and very good cash flow which rapidly improves the quality of the balance sheet.

Qantas share price snapshot

The Qantas share price has outperformed the ASX 200 in 2022, gaining 14% compared to a 6% loss posted by the benchmark index.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

A cute young girl wears a straw hat and has a backpack strapped on her back as she holds a globe in her hand with a cheeky smile on her face.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares have dumped 7% in 3 days. Should I buy?

Is the recent Qantas share price weakness a buying opportunity?

Read more »

A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.
Travel Shares

Why is the Flight Centre share price lagging the ASX 200 on Monday?

Flight Centre has raised more funds than it planned.

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Investing Strategies

'Still has legs': Not too late to buy these 2 stellar ASX 200 shares, says expert

One sector is showing remarkable resilience against all the economic doom and gloom. And it will keep making money in…

Read more »

A woman ponders a question as she puts money into a piggy bank with a model plane and suitcase nearby.
Travel Shares

When will Flight Centre shares resume paying dividends?

Is there going to be a Flight Centre dividend in 2023?

Read more »

a young girl wearing a set of airplane wings stands on a tarmac with hands in the air and an excited look on her face as though she is about to take off.
Travel Shares

Qantas share price could surge to $10: JPMorgan

Top broker tips a 30% increase in the Qantas share price within 12 months.

Read more »

a man wearing an old-fashioned aviation leather head covering and goggles and with a cardboard plane shape around his waist runs along the ground against a barren, desert background.
Travel Shares

Qantas share price flying higher despite new labour disruptions

The Qantas share price won’t be receiving any tailwinds from the company’s refuelling crews on Wednesday.

Read more »

Travel Shares

Should I buy Flight Centre shares at $19?

Can this ASX travel share keep flying higher?

Read more »

A pilot stands in an empty passenger cabin smiling with his arms crossed looking excited
Travel Shares

Own Qantas shares? Here's how the ASX 200 airline plans to grow

Qantas shares are in focus this morning as the ASX 200 airline announces some big 10-year growth plans.

Read more »