Down 30% so far in 2022, leading fund manager Firetrail sees a bright future for this under-the-radar ASX small-cap share

This small cap ASX stock is expected to benefit from rising interest rates

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A sunset scene though the fingers of two hands, indicating the bigger picture

Image source: Getty Images

Writing in its October monthly update, the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund names the NobleOak Life Ltd (ASX: NOL) share price as one of the negative contributors for the month.

Although the fund has struggled over the past 12 months, since inception in February 2020, it has returned 11.5% per annum, soundly outperforming its benchmark.

October saw the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund gain 4.7% after fees, underperforming the Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index by 1.7%. 

Positive contributors included the Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price soaring 40% in October after the family communications application announced increased prices for new and existing US subscribers. The fund notes Life360 has 27 million monthly active users in the US, approximately 8% of the total US population.

Turning to detractors, the NobleOak Life share price fell 12% in October on very thin trading volumes. Since the end of the month, this ASX small-cap share has continued to struggle, now trading at close to a 52-week low. 

The fund notes the life insurance sector has performed poorly in 2022 despite its defensive earnings and industry tailwinds from policy repricing and rising interest rates. 

Not deterred, Firetrail estimates NobleOak will see an approximate 7-10% profit tailwind from rising interest rates in FY23. 

Whatever the reason – the war in Ukraine, the pandemic or recession fears – the fund is encouraged by consumer willingness to buy life insurance increasing by "an amazing" 35% in the past two years. 

When reporting FY22 results in late August, NobleOak said it delivered another year of strong growth in in-force premiums and underlying profits, exceeding its key prospectus forecasts. 

For FY23, the ASX small-cap share says "in-force premiums are expected to grow ahead of market with a disciplined approach to drive continued profit growth".

NobleOak was a July 2021 IPO, with shares issued at $1.95 per share. Its share price hit a high of $2.45 in March 2022 before retreating back to $1.57 today.  

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Share Market News

Testing again

Read more »

Share Market News

Aaron Test 2

Read more »

Share Market News

Aaron Test

Read more »

Share Market News

JP Test

Read more »

Share Market News

JP Test

Read more »

Portrait of Discovery Fund portfolio managers Mark Devcich and Chris Bainbridge
Share Market News

Test

Portfolio managers Mark Devcich (left) and Chris Bainbridge. Image source: Discovery Fund test test

Read more »

a man in a hoodie grins slyly as he sits with his hands poised on a keyboard. He is superimposed with a graphic image of a computer screen asking for a password, suggesting he is a hacker.
Share Market News

Another ASX 200 company has been hit with a cyber incident. Here's what we know

Hackers have breached the systems of this ASX 200 company.

Read more »

a woman
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares that inflation can't touch: expert

Regardless of whether you're a bull or a bear, cost pressures are a factor when buying stocks at the moment.

Read more »