'Undemanding' valuation: Morgans tip 17% upside for the Suncorp share price

Suncorp shares could be in the buy zone…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) share price could be great value at the current level.

That's the view of one of Australia's leading brokers, which has just reiterated its bullish view on the insurance giant.

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements

Image source: Getty Images

What is the broker saying about the Suncorp share price?

According to a note out of Morgans, in response to yesterday's natural hazards update, its analysts have retained their add rating and $13.70 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the latest Suncorp share price of $11.68, this implies potential upside of 17% for investors over the next 12 months.

Morgans is also expecting an attractive fully franked 6.3% dividend yield over the next 12 months, stretching the total potential return beyond 23%.

What did its analysts say?

The broker notes that it has been "an active start to the year for claims" for Suncorp given the recent inclement weather. This has led to first half hazard claims reaching $500 million, which has eaten up most of its first half natural hazard budget of $580 million.

However, it reminds investors that if the bad weather continues, Suncorp has strong reinsurance protections in place that will work to limit hazard losses in the second half. It commented:

We now forecast SUN hazard losses to be A$75m above allowances in 1H23, but assume this drag is offset by claims being below budget by a similar level in 2H23, due to reinsurance protections in place.

In light of this, the broker remains positive and believes the Suncorp share price trades on an undemanding valuation. It concludes:

While weather remains volatile, we think SUN's underlying business trends continue to broadly track in the right direction. SUN will also reap the full benefits of its efficiency program in FY23 and we see SUN's current valuation as undemanding, e.g. FY23 PE multiple of 13x and a 6% dividend yield.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

asx share price resignation represented by man kicking miniature man through the air
Financial Shares

Australian Ethical just dumped 1.6 million shares of this ASX 200 company. Here's why

Australian Ethical has made a major ESG call on this large business.

Read more »

two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to rocket from same booming industry: expert

Most sectors will struggle when the economy slows down, but maybe not this one.

Read more »

Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.
Financial Shares

AMP shares drop then pop amid ex-dividend and delay of $225 million sale

The sale of Collimate Capital's domestic leg looks to be split in two amid regulatory delays.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Dividend Investing

Why is the AMP share price sinking today?

In announcing its full year financial results, the AMP board declared a dividend payout for the first time since 2020.

Read more »

A woman shows her phone screen and points up.
Financial Shares

Hub24 share price up 9% on record half-year results and turbocharged dividend

The financial services provider is flying high today on the back of stellar results.

Read more »

Woman relaxing and using her Apple device
Financial Shares

For $1,000 in monthly passive income, buy 1,770 shares of this ASX 200 stock

This ASX blue chip could unlock enormous passive income for investors.

Read more »

Woman on her laptop thinking to herself.
Financial Shares

Are AMP shares finally cheap enough to buy following Thursday's 13% crash?

A return to dividend hasn't convinced this top broker.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Earnings Results

QBE share price leaps 10% amid explosive dividend growth

QBE boosted its final dividend payout by a whopping 58% from the prior year.

Read more »