I shouldn't have sold this ASX share two years ago: fund

How would you be if you cut a stock that's since risen 470% in just a couple of years?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Regrets, I've had a few.

Amateurs and professionals alike sometimes make investment decisions that they wish they could take back.

Did you sell Afterpay at $20, only to see it rise to $150 a couple of years later? Perhaps you didn't buy Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) shares when it plunged to the teens and twenties during the global financial crisis?

These are the stories you don't hear at the barbecues or at fund manager presentations.

People naturally want to talk about their successes, not their regrets.

But remarkably, the team at QVG Capital broke the convention this week.

Two women shoppers smile as they look at a pair of earrings in a costume jewellery store with a selection of large, colourful necklaces made of beads lined up on a display shelf next to them.

Image source: Getty Images

'We made a costly error'

In a year when most non-mining ASX shares have gone down the gurgler, Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV) has fared very well.

The share price for the low-cost jewellery retailer is up more than 15% year to date, and has rocketed up an eye-popping 78% since mid-June.

QVG capital analysts, in a memo to clients, admitted losing faith in the business a couple of years ago.

"We made a costly error in selling Lovisa in the first COVID lockdown in February and March 2020 on a view that, with almost no online presence, and costume jewellery not being of strategic importance, Lovisa might go broke."

If you can believe it, the Lovisa share price has risen a whopping 470% since the depths of the COVID market crash in March 2020.

Ouch.

'Next few years will be worth watching'

It's not that QVG Capital's worries about the business were not justified.

But after that first wave of the pandemic broke out, unexpected assistance came to avoid calamity for Lovisa.

"With JobKeeper to the rescue, it turns out we were wrong."

The Australian federal government's COVID-19 wage subsidies allowed the retailer to retain many of its staff and took them through the dark months of the 2020 lockdowns.

Now, only two years later, Lovisa is flying high on the back of overseas expansion and a belief that its low-cost offerings will see resilient demand from cash-strapped consumers.

The Motley Fool reported this week that Morgans rates the stock as a buy.

"Lovisa has a substantial multi-year global rollout opportunity across four continents," the team reportedly stated.

"We think Lovisa's products fill an underserved niche, offering good quality fashion jewellery at prices that are attainable to the target demographic."

The team at Morgans also likes the new leadership at the company.

"The recent appointment of Victor Herrero as CEO, replacing Shane Fallscheer, provides a clue as to the extent of Lovisa's global ambition and its impatience to realise that ambition," 

"The next few years will be worth watching."

The good news keeps coming for Lovisa

Another boost for Lovisa this month is that it will be added to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

That will see a nice boost in demand for the stock, as funds that follow the index are forced to buy Lovisa.

So all this must be eating away at the portfolio manager at QVG Capital after cutting the ASX share loose two years ago.

But it's not all bad news for the fund and its clients.

"Fortunately, we reversed the error and now own Lovisa again," read the QVG memo.

"Its result was glittering and the global roll-out of high returning stores appears to be accelerating."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa Holdings Ltd and Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Dividend Investing

Buy Macquarie and this ASX 200 passive income share: analysts

These could be the shares to buy if you want a passive income boost.

Read more »

Miner looking at his notes.
ESG

'Not sure if that's the way we should go': Why BHP shares are making news today

BHP is trialling renewable diesel made from Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO) at its Western Australian Yandi iron ore mine.

Read more »

ATM with Australian hundred dollar notes hanging out.
Dividend Investing

4 ASX 200 shares trading ex-dividend on Wednesday

These ASX 200 shares will be rewarding their shareholders with dividends very soon.

Read more »

Portrait of Discovery Fund portfolio managers Mark Devcich and Chris Bainbridge
Investing Strategies

Revealed: Fund's secret sauce to picking ASX shares for massive wins

Ask A Fund Manager: Discovery Fund's Chris Bainbridge and Mark Devcich also set out 4 reasons why ASX shares will…

Read more »

A woman wearing glasses and a black top smiles broadly as she stares at a money yarn full of coins representing the rising JB Hi-Fi share price and rising dividends over the past five years
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares with big yields today: experts

These ASX shares could give your passive income a major boost during the cost of living crisis.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Dividend Investing

3 ASX 200 shares trading ex-dividend on Tuesday

Expect to see these 3 ASX 200 shares drop tomorrow

Read more »

A couple sits in their lounge room with a large piggy bank on the coffee table. They smile while the male partner feeds some money into the slot while the female partner looks on with an iPad style device in her hands as though they are budgeting.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares right now for income: analysts

Here's why analysts say these could be top options for income investors this month...

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Growth Shares

Here's why experts rate these ASX 200 growth shares as buys

Healthcare, retail, and lithium... here's why analysts rate these growth shares highly right now.

Read more »