Better ASX tech buy: Xero or Altium?

Let's put these two WAAAX shares to the test.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As fears of inflation and rising interest rates rattle the ASX, tech shares have been among the hardest hit.

The S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) has tumbled nearly 25% this year as investors lose their appetite for high-risk businesses and turn their backs on lofty valuations.

The sell-off has been brutal and there could be more pain ahead. But for long-term investors, this pullback could be an opportunity to pick up quality names at a discount.

Two high-quality ASX tech shares that are down more than 30% this year are Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) and Altium Limited (ASX: ALU).

So which of these two ASX tech darlings could be a better buy?

A woman looks internationally at a digital interface of the world.

Image source: Getty Images

The case to zero in on Xero shares

Gone are the days when accounting software was on discs that you'd have to install locally on your computer. And for small business owners, loading all of your data onto a USB to send to your accountant is a thing of the past.

Enter Xero, a 'beautiful' cloud-first accounting software platform you can access anytime, anywhere and from any device. 

After dominating the local Australian and New Zealand markets, Xero set its sights abroad. It now has a strong foothold in the United Kingdom and North America, where cloud adoption still has a lengthy runway. 

Being mission-critical to a small business' operations, Xero's software is incredibly sticky. In other words, it's so embedded in its customers' lives that it's hard to give up. 

Not only does this lead to high rates of customer retention but it also gives Xero lucrative pricing power. Together with the addition of new features and add-ons, this has helped Xero increase its average revenue per user (ARPU) over time.

The beauty of Xero's economics can be seen through the relationship between two metrics: customer acquisition costs (CAC) and lifetime value (LTV). After all, the basic idea for any sustainable business is that it costs less to acquire a new customer than what that customer pays over their expected lifetime.

In FY22, Xero reported an LTV-to-CAC ratio of 6.9. This means Xero estimates it gets $6.90 back for every $1 it spends to get a customer paying for its products. So while many investors are quick to point out Xero's hefty marketing spend, I think it makes sense to invest in these channels at such attractive rates of return.

The case to add Altium to your portfolio

Altium provides software involved in the design of printed circuit boards (PCBs), which sit inside electronic devices.

As Altium's investor presentations make sure to highlight, the company is a market leader with a wide range of applications and a who's who of high-profile customers.

Since PCBs are used as the base in most electronics, Altium is exposed to the growth of a number of different industries, including automotive, aerospace, consumer electronics, and life sciences.

Altium is also a key player in the rise of connected devices, or the 'internet of things' thematic.

As I've written about previously, Altium ticks many boxes of a high-quality growth share. It's a capital-light business that scales extremely well; it exhibits high switching costs which leads to sticky revenue; and it boasts a cashed-up, debt-free balance sheet.

Management has also shown tremendous execution to date and now has its sights set on an ambitious target of 100,000 Altium Designer subscribers and US$500 million revenue by FY26. For context, Altium reported 56,000 subscribers in the most recent half and booked US$191 million of revenue in FY21.

While acquisitions will likely play a part, the key to achieving these targets will be the success of the company's new cloud platform, Altium 365. Taking the electronics design process into the cloud and building an ecosystem around it could be a game-changer for Altium. And importantly, it has the first-mover advantage. 

Which ASX tech share comes out on top?

There's plenty to like about both of these ASX tech shares. 

Both have scalable cost bases, capital-light business models, sticky revenues, stiff industry tailwinds at their backs, strong balance sheets, and proven management teams.

So it's no surprise that Xero and Altium are among the best performers in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the last 10 years.

While I own shares in both companies, I'm especially attracted to Xero's delicious unit economics, the simplicity of the business, and how it's evolving to take greater share of customer wallets.

Although Altium is a proven performer, COVID threw the business off course and in my eyes, it's emerged as a riskier business. I'm keen to see how Altium has been faring in a post-pandemic world when it releases its FY22 results next week

Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has positions in Altium and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Altium and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

a man wearing spectacles has a satisfied look on his face as he appears within a graphic image of graphs, computer code and technology related symbols while he concentrates on a computer screen
Technology Shares

Top ASX 200 tech shares to buy right now: Morgans

It’s time to jump on some leading players in the tech sector, according to one broker.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
Technology Shares

These ASX tech shares are buys: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs speaks very highly about these tech shares.

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Technology Shares

Xero share price dips 3% amid Silicon Valley Bank fallout

Xero has been caught up in the Silicon Valley Bank collapse.

Read more »

A worried man holds his head in his hands
Technology Shares

These ASX tech shares have exposure to the Silicon Valley Bank collapse

The second-largest banking collapse in US history occurred last week.

Read more »

asx share price resignation represented by man kicking miniature man through the air
Technology Shares

Novonix shares will soon be booted out of the ASX 200. What might this mean for investors?

ASX 200 share Novonix will soon be just an All Ords share.

Read more »

Technology Shares

Is the new leaner, meaner Xero stock a buy right now?

Is this tech stock a buy after announcing major cost reductions?

Read more »

A young woman with her mouth open and her hands out showing surprise and delight as uranium share prices skyrocket
Technology Shares

Why is the Xero share price racing 11% higher today?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of Xero's shares on Thursday.

Read more »

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Technology Shares

The ASX 200 tech shares I'd be thrilled to buy at a 20% discount

I’d love to go shopping for these tech names if they heavily dipped.

Read more »