Down 24% in FY22, can the JB Hi-Fi share price bounce back this year?

What's next for this ASX retail share in FY23? We take a look

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • JB Hi-Fi shares fell from grace over FY22
  • This ASX 200 retailer fell more than 20% over the financial year just gone
  • Brokers are divided about how the outlook for the JB Hi-Fi share price

It was not that long ago the JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) share price could seemingly do no wrong. This was a company that rose by 120% between March 2019 and March 2022, after all.

Not only that, but JB also managed to dramatically ramp up its dividends too. This ASX 200 retailer paid out $1.32 in dividends per share in 2018. But by 2021, this had risen to $2.87 in dividends per share.

And yet, the past financial year has been one of the toughest in recent memory for this company. FY22 saw JB fall from the $50.58 share price it was commanding at the start of the last financial year to the $38.46 it was left with when FY22 wrapped up earlier this month. That's a painful drop of almost 24%.

As my Fool colleague Tristan went through earlier this month, JB was hurt by falling profits and sales in its report covering the six months to 31 December 2021.

The company also did not exactly inspire investors when it admitted there was "ongoing disruption to stock availability and operations arising from COVID-19 and other local and global uncertainties" during its third-quarter update for FY22.

So with such a painful loss over the financial year just gone, can the JB Hi-Fi share price recover over the new financial year we have just begun?

Woman checking out new laptops.

Image source: Getty Images

What's next for the JB Hi-Fi share price in FY23?

Well, there is one ASX broker who reckons the worst might be behind the JB Hi-Fi share price. As we covered just yesterday, broker Citi has just upgraded JB shares to a buy rating.

That came with a 12-month share price target of $47. That would represent a potential upside of around 9.5% from the $42.92 JB is commanding today (at the time of writing).

Citi anticipates that household spending will remain strong, despite the recent inflation we have seen in the economy, helping to prop up JB's sales. As such, it sees the current JB share price as favourable.

But other ASX brokers have not been as kind. We've also recently covered how Ord Minnet has cut its rating from buy to hold, with a share price target of $42.

Ord Minnet doesn't have the optimism that Citi does when it comes to inflation and rising interest rates, which it sees as a potential spanner in JB Hi-Fi's works.

So time will only tell which ASX broker is on the money when it comes to JB shares.

In the meantime, the current JB Hi-Fi share price gives this ASX 200 retailer a market capitalisation of $4.69 billion, with a dividend yield of 6.3%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Retail Shares

Gerry Harvey just bought $8 million worth of Harvey Norman shares. Should you buy?

The Harvey Norman share price has dropped by almost 8% since the company reported its 1H FY23 results last week.

Read more »

Retired man reclining in hammock with feet up, retire early
Retail Shares

For $750 in monthly passive income, buy 8,572 shares of this ASX 200 stock

Going shopping for this business could unlock wonderful dividend cash flow.

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
Retail Shares

Buying opportunity? Harvey Norman boss says share slump is a 'total overreaction'

The Harvey Norman share price is currently trading at a 9% discount from where it was two days ago.

Read more »

An older woman with grey hair and wearing glasses looks at her laptop screen with her hand outstretched to demonstrate that she doesn't understand what she is reading
Retail Shares

Why did the Wesfarmers share price flop in February?

It has been an eventful month for Wesfarmers.

Read more »

A middle-aged woman sits in contemplation over a tablet device considering information about ASX shares and deep in thought.
Retail Shares

Are Wesfarmers shares a buy following the ASX 200 giant's latest earnings result?

Here’s my view on the copmany's impressive FY23 half-year result.

Read more »

Woman looks amazed and shocked as she looks at her laptop.
Dividend Investing

11% dividend yield! Is this the greatest ASX 300 bargain?

The tax benefits offered via franking credits can offer investors a significantly higher grossed up dividend yield.

Read more »

Happy shopper at a clothes shop.
Retail Shares

Wesfarmers shares take off as bargain hunting sees Kmart earnings add 110%

Here's what these experts are saying about the ASX 200 giant's first half earnings.

Read more »

One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.
Retail Shares

This ASX share's doubled in 3 months. Expert says it's not too late to buy!

This stock was an absolute pariah, losing 99% over the last few years. But the last 8 weeks have seen…

Read more »