Why did the Evolution share price freefall 38% in June?

It's been another disappointing month for Evolution shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Evolution shares tanked 38% last month to finish at $2.38 
  • Several macro environmental trends such as the ailing price of gold is dragging down the Evolution share price 
  • UBS thinks that the gold miner's shares are undervalued, giving it a buy rating with a 12-month price target of $4.05 

A month of volatile trading conditions led the Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price to sink 38% last month.

At the start of June, the gold miner's shares picked up from $3.84 but finished at $2.38 on June 30.

Across the sector, the S&P/ASX 200 Resources (ASX: XJR) index declined by roughly 11% over the same time frame.

Nonetheless, the beginning of July has led Evolution shares to trade sideways as investors remain cautious for the time being.

At the time of writing, the mining outfit's shares are up 4.20% at $2.48.

A woman wearing a gold top and carrying a gold bar gives the thumbs down signal as she leans against a wall with a sombre look on her face as the Kingsgate share price goes lower

Image source: Getty Images

What impacted Evolution shares in June?

Investors sold off the Evolution share price following concerns about further market falls in 2022 along with a business update.

A downbeat economic outlook impacted by rampant inflation and rate hikes by major central banks weighed on investor sentiment.

This led to consumer confidence dropping to a 16-month low in the United States, whilst GDP contracted 1.6% for the first quarter of 2022.

However, a business update released by the company on June 27 drove Evolution shares to plummet almost 22%.

An expected fall in annual gold production along with higher all-in-sustaining-costs (AISC) will drag down its FY22 guidance.

Subsequently, the price of gold continued to tread lower, fetching just above the psychological US$1,800 barrier.

This means that a decline in the price of the yellow metal translates to a loss of potential revenue for Evolution.

It appears that investors have been turned off by the company's misfortunes with heavy trading volumes occurring last week.

Evidently, this has put selling pressure on Evolution shares as investors seek better risk/reward opportunities.

Is now the time to buy into the Evolution share price?

The Evolution share price could be trading at attractive levels. As reported by my Foolish colleague, Brendon, UBS upgraded its rating on the miner's shares to a buy.

The broker believes there is still significant value in Evolution and has put a 12-month price target of $4.05.

Based on the current share price, this represents a 63% upside for investors.

Evolution commands a market capitalisation of approximately $4.55 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A businesswoman pulls her glasses down in shock to look at the bad news on her computer.
Share Fallers

Why Bank of Queensland, Brainchip, Pilbara Minerals, and Yancoal shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are being hammered on Tuesday.

Read more »

a middle-aged woman holds up two fingers with a wide mouthed smile on her face and wide open eyes.
Share Fallers

'Top quality': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 shares to buy at a nice discount

These stocks are down but not out. One portfolio manager is convinced they'll make you richer in the long run.

Read more »

a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Share Fallers

Why Atlantic Lithium, Arafura, Brainchip, and Core Lithium shares are falling

These ASX shares are starting the week in the red.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Atlantic Lithium, CBA, Piedmont Lithium, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red.

Read more »

Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.
Share Fallers

Golden buying opportunity for 2 ASX shares slashed last month: Celeste

Here's a pair of businesses that are going pretty strong but whose stock prices are in a dip, ready now…

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why 29Metals, BHP, Helia, and Rio Tinto shares are dropping today

Here's why these ASX shares are weighing on the market's performance on Thursday.

Read more »

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.
Share Fallers

Why Nuix, Smartgroup, Ventia, and Woodside shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on the ASX boards on Wednesday.

Read more »

A woman looks distressed as she stares dramatically at her phone
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Lynas, Megaport, and Universal Store shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Tuesday.

Read more »