Why the Dow Jones Industrial Average Has Avoided the Bear So Far

On the day when the S&P 500 fell 20% from its highs, the Dow remained the relative outperformer.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Stocks continued their descent on Monday, building on dramatic losses from Friday after the latest inflation report showed greater price increases than anticipated. Losses for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) were roughly in line with Friday's performance, but the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) had even greater percentage losses.

Index

Daily Percentage Change (Decline)

Daily Point Change

Dow

(2.79%)

(876)

S&P 500

(3.88%)

(151)

Nasdaq

(4.68%)

(531)

Data source: Yahoo! Finance.

With Monday's declines, the Nasdaq fell to 33% below its record high from November, while the S&P 500 closed down 22% from its best levels. Yet the Dow's 17% loss remained slightly less extreme than the other two benchmarks, keeping it out of what's officially considered bear market territory. Below, we'll look at a few of the reasons the Dow has been a relative outperformer.

1. The Dow's exposure to energy

One key to the Dow's performance in 2022 has been Chevron (NYSE: CVX). The oil major has soared 43% so far this year, making it by far the Dow's biggest winner.

What might be surprising to investors is that Chevron alone gives the Dow a fair amount of energy exposure comparably. At 3.7% based on Chevron's closing price on Friday, it's not a huge portion of the average. But it's far greater than the 0.75% weighting of energy stocks in the Nasdaq. And while it is somewhat less than the S&P, Chevron has been a better performer than some of its peers among S&P 500 energy stocks.

2. A solid helping of defensive stocks

The Dow also has a greater proportion of defensive value-based stocks than the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Drugmaker Merck (NYSE: MRK) is still up double-digit percentages on the year. Insurance giant The Travelers Companies (NYSE: TRV) is also higher, as the industry has largely been able to avoid catastrophic events so far and stands to benefit from higher bond yields. Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) isn't a high-growth company, but it has reliable cash flow and consistent dividends. Those traits are appealing to investors right now.

Even some modest losers are contributing to relative performance. UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH), for instance, can count on sustained demand for its health insurance and healthcare services businesses, and that has helped limit its losses in 2022.

Meanwhile, you won't find a huge number of high-growth darlings in the Dow. A few stocks arguably got ahead of themselves and have seen substantial moves lower to give back some of their gains from recent years. For the most part, though, losses among individual Dow components have been fairly measured, with about half of the average avoiding declines of more than 10%.

3. Smart cyclical plays

And some other stocks in the Dow have performed well because they've been able to benefit from where the current business cycle stands. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) has seen rising demand for heavy equipment as high commodity prices make it more beneficial to work to produce natural resources. Chemical company Dow (NYSE: DOW) similarly has opportunities to serve those benefiting from prices of key goods.

All in all, it's hard to treat a 17% drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average as a big win for investors. But when you compare it to the much more substantial losses you're seeing in other key market indexes -- let alone some individual stocks in those markets -- it makes you appreciate the blue chip quality of the Dow and its components.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Dan Caplinger has positions in UnitedHealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended UnitedHealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Boom! Why has Tesla stock rocketed 68% so far in 2023?

It's already been a year to remember for the electric vehicle giant.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
International Stock News

How an AI demo erased $140 billion from Alphabet stock

One error made this a costly display of Alphabet's new technology.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Share Market News

Meta stock price rockets 19% on $56 billion buyback

Meta stock has just seen one of its biggest jumps in history...

Read more »

woman looking surprised watching netflix
International Stock News

The Netflix share price just popped. Here's one way to buy in on the ASX

Here's one way to get a slice of whatever future Netflix might have.

Read more »

A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.
International Stock News

If I'd bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now?

Here's how much mind-blowing money investors have made on Tesla stock in three years...

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
International Stock News

Alphabet stock: A once-in-a-decade opportunity to outdo Warren Buffett?

Is now the time to snap up shares in the global tech giant?

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

Aussie investors are buying Tesla shares in droves. Should you?

A beaten-up stock, dramatic price cuts, and a controversial leader -- does investing in Tesla still make sense?

Read more »

Happy woman on her phone while her electric vehicle charges.
International Stock News

Should I buy Tesla stock for 2023 or not?

Is it finally time to buy Tesla stock?

Read more »