Apple stock: The bull and bear cases today

This top stock has declined 18% year to date. Is it time to buy shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The stock market is having a very lackluster 2022 so far. The S&P 500 has contracted 13% since the start of the year, and the Nasdaq Composite, which is heavy with technology stocks, which can be more speculative, has toppled 23% in the same time frame. Equities continue to battle an unfavorable economic and geopolitical environment that includes 40-year high inflation, higher interest rates, and concerns about the war between Russia and Ukraine. 

Even some of the world's star companies, like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), have been wounded by the current macro climate. The iPhone maker's business has held up very nicely compared to other big tech companies like FAANG counterparts Netflix and Meta Platforms, yet the stock has been punished, sinking 18% year to date.

Let's discuss Apple's bull and bear case to help investors decide if they should add the stock to their portfolios now.

What's looking good?

Unlike many of its technology peers, Apple's business hasn't seemed to suffer from the macro headwinds. In its second quarter of 2022, which ended on March 26, the company beat analysts' estimates for both revenue and earnings. Both total sales and diluted earnings per share grew 8.6% year over year in the quarter. The tech giant's products segment, which represented 80% of total revenue, had a very strong outing during the quarter, as each product category, excluding iPad, experienced sales growth year over year. The products segment includes iPhone, Mac, iPad, and wearables, Home, and accessories.

Apple's services segment, which includes the App Store, Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, and other subscription businesses, expanded at a rapid clip once again in the most recent quarter. Its total sales were nearly $20 billion, equal to 17.3% growth year over year, and the segment's gross margin expanded 254 basis points to 72.6%. Steady expansion from its products segment is a plus, but the company's growth trajectory is highly dependent on its services category. Fortunately for Apple and its shareholders, the company's $28.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents provides more than enough funding to develop this business further.

The latest sell-off has also soothed the tech leader's valuation. At the start of the year, the company was trading around 30 times earnings, which is notably higher than its five-year mean price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 23.1. Today, however, the stock has a P/E of 24.1, which represents a much more reasonable valuation. 

What's keeping investors away?

Boasting a market capitalization of $2.4 trillion, Apple is an enormous company, which in turn limits its ability to grow like it once did. Analysts expect the tech juggernaut's top line to reach $394 billion in fiscal year 2022, indicating 7.7% growth year over year, and its bottom line to increase 9.4% to $6.14 per share. In 2023, Wall Street projects total revenue to climb just 5.6% to $416.2 billion and earnings per share to ascend 6.8% to $6.56. 

While the stock's P/E has dropped to around 24, one could argue that there are more attractively priced stocks out there when considering growth rates. For instance, its fellow FAANG peer Alphabet is currently trading at 21.2 times earnings while projected to grow its bottom line by 18.7% in 2023, according to Wall Street analysts. With expectations that growth will continue to slow for Apple moving forward, it's not unreasonable to assume that certain investors will eventually fall out of love with the stock. And provided its subpar dividend yield of only 0.60%, the company may not be able to attract dividend and value investors, either.   

I believe in the long-term picture

In today's sagging market, Apple extends investors a valid buying opportunity. Its resilient business model, extraordinary balance sheet, and lower P/E serve as compelling reasons to buy the stock right now. Despite its slowing growth, I believe the company will continue to deliver market-beating returns in the long run. It's time to take advantage of the stock market's shortsightedness by accumulating shares of this tech giant today. 

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Luke Meindl has positions in Apple. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Apple, and Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Apple, and Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Boom! Why has Tesla stock rocketed 68% so far in 2023?

It's already been a year to remember for the electric vehicle giant.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
International Stock News

How an AI demo erased $140 billion from Alphabet stock

One error made this a costly display of Alphabet's new technology.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Share Market News

Meta stock price rockets 19% on $56 billion buyback

Meta stock has just seen one of its biggest jumps in history...

Read more »

woman looking surprised watching netflix
International Stock News

The Netflix share price just popped. Here's one way to buy in on the ASX

Here's one way to get a slice of whatever future Netflix might have.

Read more »

A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.
International Stock News

If I'd bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now?

Here's how much mind-blowing money investors have made on Tesla stock in three years...

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
International Stock News

Alphabet stock: A once-in-a-decade opportunity to outdo Warren Buffett?

Is now the time to snap up shares in the global tech giant?

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

Aussie investors are buying Tesla shares in droves. Should you?

A beaten-up stock, dramatic price cuts, and a controversial leader -- does investing in Tesla still make sense?

Read more »

Happy woman on her phone while her electric vehicle charges.
International Stock News

Should I buy Tesla stock for 2023 or not?

Is it finally time to buy Tesla stock?

Read more »