Is this ASX 200 mining share set to surge, regardless of commodity prices?

Could the Nickel Mines share price be in for a better ride? Let's take a look.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Nickel Mines share price has fallen 22% year to date 
  • However, one expert suggests the company's share price is undervalued 
  • Nickel Mines recently reported nickel sales soared by more than 20% on the previous quarter 

Commodity prices may be rocky lately, but could this S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining share go higher?

The Nickel Mines Ltd (ASX: NIC) share price has dropped 12% in the past week. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Resources Index (ASX: XJR) has slid 5% in a week.

Let's take a look at the outlook for this ASX 200 mining share.

a small boy dressed in a superhero outfit soars into the sky with a graphic backdrop of a cityscape.

Image source: Getty Images

Undervalued share

The Nickel Mines share price is undervalued, according to Fidelity Australian Opportunities Fund portfolio manager Kate Howitt.

In comments reported by the Australian Financial Review, Howitt said:

The company's output will roughly triple over the next few years, making it one of the few resources companies not needing commodity prices to do the heavy lifting of earnings growth. 

The company's latest quarterly showed a great outcome on both production and margins; a few more quarterlies like that and the risk discount in the shares will be squeezed out.

The Nickel Mines share price jumped in late April amid the company's quarterly results. Nickel Mines shares leapt 6% on 28 April after the company reported record earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$81.7 million, an 18.7% rise.

The company also sold US$7,386 per tonne of nickel, a 22.5% increase on the previous quarter.

Nickel Mines shares were turbulent in March during the "nickel squeeze", as my Foolish colleague Zach reported.

However, on 24 March, the team at Bell Potter predicted the Nickel Mines share price could rise 40% in the next 12 months.

Nickel Mines share price snapshot

The Nickel Mines share price has climbed 6% over the past 12 months, but it has descended 22% year to date.

For perspective, the ASX 200 Resources Index has lost almost 4% in the past year but gained roughly 2% year to date. The benchmark ASX 200 has lost less than 1% over the past year.

Nickel Mines has a market capitalisation of about $3 billion based on the current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords share is rocketing 20% on lithium battery news

Not all shares have been caught up in the market selloff.

Read more »

Female miner smiling in front of a mining vehicle as the Pilbara Minerals share price rises
Materials Shares

Down 24% in a month, is the Pilbara Minerals share price now a bargain buy?

Could this be a lithium lover's delight or are Pilbara shares fraught with danger?

Read more »

Female ASX travel shares investor with surprised expression drinks a cup of tea while reading the newspaper at her desk
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium share turned one sceptic into a bona fide believer

Green lithium extraction has changed the position of this lithium boom critic.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Materials Shares

Piedmont Lithium shares: 150% upside or big short opportunity?

Investors will need to wade through the muck to determine if Piedmont Lithium shares are a good buy right now.…

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
Dividend Investing

How to generate $20k of passive income from BHP shares

BHP could provide investors with a big pay check in 2023.

Read more »

shocked man with hands over his face with a declining graph in background representing falling CleanSpace share price
Materials Shares

Lynas share price resets 52-week low twice in one week

March has been a shocker for this ASX rare earths share.

Read more »

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up
Materials Shares

Piedmont Lithium share price sinks following short attack response

Piedmont Lithium has responded to a short seller attack on Friday.

Read more »