Why is the Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price jumping 5% today?

Christmas cheer is reaching into retail shares like Kogan.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is rebounding on Wednesday from its recent 19-month low.

At the time of writing, the online retailer's shares are swapping hands for $8.03, up 5.38%. This comes after a prolonged period of downward pressure on the company's shares as it contends with a slowdown in sales.

The reprieve for Kogan shares follows a strong session for US-listed e-commerce companies overnight. In addition, ASX investors could be eyeing off businesses set to benefit from a Christmas spending spree.

A young woman does her Christmas shopping online in her lounge room at home with a Christmas tree in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why are Kogan shares rallying on the ASX today?

The market is looking more fondly upon the ASX-listed Kogan share price today as it marches upwards. While there are no new announcements from the company today, investors could be getting excited about a potentially happy holiday period.

As my colleague Brendon covered yesterday, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) released the results of its latest consumer survey. According to the CommBank Household Spending Intentions Index, retail spending intentions increased 9.6% in November compared to the previous month.

Additionally, CBA noted the strong gain in November suggests a strong Christmas shopping period. Fuelling this year's silly season is excessive household savings, which the major bank pegs at an estimated $240 billion.

This further solidifies forecasts for pre-Christmas spending as published by the Australian Retailers Association and Roy Morgan. The joint report indicated pre-Christmas retail sales were likely to hit $58.8 billion. This figure is in line with the previous year. However, it represents an 11.3% increase compared to pre-pandemic spending.

For ASX-listed Kogan, shareholders will be hoping the excess household savings will go towards bringing down the company's high inventory levels. The unpredictability in supply and demand has bullied the Kogan share price since February this year.

While the company noted it had resolved inventory pressures in its October update, it remains elevated from historical levels. The damage to the bottom line over the last year has led to Kogan being removed from the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). This change will be effective from opening trade on 20 December 2021.

Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler owns shares of Kogan.com Ltd and Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Retail Shares

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Retail Shares

Gerry Harvey just bought $8 million worth of Harvey Norman shares. Should you buy?

The Harvey Norman share price has dropped by almost 8% since the company reported its 1H FY23 results last week.

Read more »

Retired man reclining in hammock with feet up, retire early
Retail Shares

For $750 in monthly passive income, buy 8,572 shares of this ASX 200 stock

Going shopping for this business could unlock wonderful dividend cash flow.

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
Retail Shares

Buying opportunity? Harvey Norman boss says share slump is a 'total overreaction'

The Harvey Norman share price is currently trading at a 9% discount from where it was two days ago.

Read more »

An older woman with grey hair and wearing glasses looks at her laptop screen with her hand outstretched to demonstrate that she doesn't understand what she is reading
Retail Shares

Why did the Wesfarmers share price flop in February?

It has been an eventful month for Wesfarmers.

Read more »

A middle-aged woman sits in contemplation over a tablet device considering information about ASX shares and deep in thought.
Retail Shares

Are Wesfarmers shares a buy following the ASX 200 giant's latest earnings result?

Here’s my view on the copmany's impressive FY23 half-year result.

Read more »

Woman looks amazed and shocked as she looks at her laptop.
Dividend Investing

11% dividend yield! Is this the greatest ASX 300 bargain?

The tax benefits offered via franking credits can offer investors a significantly higher grossed up dividend yield.

Read more »

Happy shopper at a clothes shop.
Retail Shares

Wesfarmers shares take off as bargain hunting sees Kmart earnings add 110%

Here's what these experts are saying about the ASX 200 giant's first half earnings.

Read more »

One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.
Retail Shares

This ASX share's doubled in 3 months. Expert says it's not too late to buy!

This stock was an absolute pariah, losing 99% over the last few years. But the last 8 weeks have seen…

Read more »