What this broker thinks of the AMP (ASX:AMP) share price after its update

Where next for AMP's shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price was on form last week and pushed 3% higher following its quarterly update.

This means the financial services company's shares are now up 21% since the time last month.

A businesswoman stares in shock at her computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the AMP share price keep rising?

One leading broker has been looking at the company's third quarter update and given its verdict on the AMP share price.

According to a note out of Citi last week, its analysts have retained their high risk neutral rating and $1.25 price target.

Based on the current AMP share price of $1.17, this implies potential upside 6.8% for investors. Or 11% including Citi's FY 2022 dividend estimate of 5 cents per share.

What did the broker say?

Citi notes that the company's third quarter update was a little mixed.

It commented: "Overall AMP's 3Q cashflows are a little weaker than we expected with a modest deterioration in flows for AWM removing the early release of super impact in pcp and sizeable outflows from AMP Capital, albeit a large proportion of this was previously flagged. North flows, however, rebounded. Bank loan growth was also a bit better than expected, while NZ also saw modest net outflows. Factoring this in sees very little change to our estimates, although we have also reassessed AWM's likely margins etc, reducing our EPS by 4% in FY22E & 2% in FY23E."

And while it sees value in the AMP share price, it isn't enough for a change of rating due to high levels of uncertainty. Though, this could change after its investor day event next month.

Citi concluded: "AMP may be offering value but it remains too hard to tell currently with so many moving parts. We are, however, hopeful that the upcoming 30th Nov investor day may help to clarify some of these. In the meantime, we retain our Neutral/High Risk call and A$1.25 TP."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

a woman
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares that inflation can't touch: expert

Regardless of whether you're a bull or a bear, cost pressures are a factor when buying stocks at the moment.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

These are the best ASX 200 mining shares to buy in March: Morgans

These mining shares are on Morgans' best ideas list in March.

Read more »

a woman
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Analysts believe that now could be the time to add these shares to your portfolio...

Read more »

A cute young girl wears a straw hat and has a backpack strapped on her back as she holds a globe in her hand with a cheeky smile on her face.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares have dumped 7% in 3 days. Should I buy?

Is the recent Qantas share price weakness a buying opportunity?

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

Read more »

a middle-aged woman holds up two fingers with a wide mouthed smile on her face and wide open eyes.
Share Fallers

'Top quality': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 shares to buy at a nice discount

These stocks are down but not out. One portfolio manager is convinced they'll make you richer in the long run.

Read more »

two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to rocket from same booming industry: expert

Most sectors will struggle when the economy slows down, but maybe not this one.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
Technology Shares

These ASX tech shares are buys: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs speaks very highly about these tech shares.

Read more »