Why these analysts are bullish about the Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) share price for the long term

Fund managers and analysts break down what stock they'd own if markets were closed for the next five years

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The defensive nature of the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has been paying dividends in the past week. It's up around 2% over that time and has risen by 0.86% today to close at $57.39.

Many investors might consider this a win given the sharp pullback for the broader S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which is down north of 2% over the same time period.

Looking back at reporting season, the Wesfarmers share price has tumbled 10% since the release of its FY21 results on 27 August.

Despite delivering solid growth in FY21, the company flagged that "earnings in the group's retail businesses during the first half of the 2022 financial year may be below the prior corresponding period".

It looks like the post-earnings selling has subsided, with the Wesfarmers share price bouncing off the $56 level.

In an article featured on Livewire, fund managers and analysts were asked which stocks they would pick if the markets were going to close for the next five years.

Portfolio managers at Airlie Funds Management, Emma Fisher and John Sevior, pointed to Wesfarmers.

a family with shopping bags walks inside a shopping mall with shops in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

What's so good about the Wesfarmers share price in the long term?

In a world where the markets are closed for the next five years, Fisher pointed out that "you need to own a business that needs zero access to capital… You need a really high returning business that's got a fantastic balance sheet, generates a lot of cash, but doesn't need much cash".

She said Wesfarmers ticks the boxes as a "very well-capitalised business and is a huge play on Bunnings (70% of earnings)".

"The hardware business' relative market share is 5 to 6 times higher than Mitre10, and well-capitalised competitors such as Woolworths have tried and failed to compete in the space," she said.

"It is rare to find a retailer of that size that makes people excited about their business – not to mention a hardware retailer of all things."

Sevior has also been impressed by the Wesfarmers business. He highlighted the "durability of the business, the quality of balance sheet, the quality of management, and the history of capital allocation".

After all, the Wesfarmers share price has steadily climbed 81% in the last five years, excluding dividends.

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

a woman
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares that inflation can't touch: expert

Regardless of whether you're a bull or a bear, cost pressures are a factor when buying stocks at the moment.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

These are the best ASX 200 mining shares to buy in March: Morgans

These mining shares are on Morgans' best ideas list in March.

Read more »

a woman
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Analysts believe that now could be the time to add these shares to your portfolio...

Read more »

A cute young girl wears a straw hat and has a backpack strapped on her back as she holds a globe in her hand with a cheeky smile on her face.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares have dumped 7% in 3 days. Should I buy?

Is the recent Qantas share price weakness a buying opportunity?

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

Read more »

a middle-aged woman holds up two fingers with a wide mouthed smile on her face and wide open eyes.
Share Fallers

'Top quality': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 shares to buy at a nice discount

These stocks are down but not out. One portfolio manager is convinced they'll make you richer in the long run.

Read more »

two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to rocket from same booming industry: expert

Most sectors will struggle when the economy slows down, but maybe not this one.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
Technology Shares

These ASX tech shares are buys: Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs speaks very highly about these tech shares.

Read more »