Why the Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) share price is down 17% in a month

What went wrong with Rio shares last month?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

With a new month now upon us, it's a good time to cast our collective eyes back at the month that was. August turned out to be a pretty good time for ASX shares.

Taking in the avalanche of earnings reports we saw over the month, it's a testament to the strength of these reports that the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) managed a gain of 2.1% for the month. However, one major ASX 200 constituent wasn't joining the August party. That would be the Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price.

Last month, Rio Tinto shares had one of their worst months since the 2020 market crash. This giant iron ore miner started August at a share price of $133.42, but finished up yesterday at the far lower price of $112.14 a share. For the record, the Rio Tinto share price has given up another 2.6% so far today, and is going for $109.15 at the time of writing.

This steep share price fall translates into a month-to-month loss of 15.95%. What's more, Rio also hit its current all-time high early in August – $137.33. By the end of the month, Rio had fallen more than 18% from that high watermark.

So why did Rio Tinto have such a month to forget?

Young boy wearing a red hard hat frowning with his hands on his head.

Image source: Getty Images

Rio impresses with earnings

Well, it's worth noting that Rio reported its FY21 half-year results just before August began, back on 28 July. As we reported at the time, the mining giant revealed a 71% surge in revenues to US$33.08 billion and a 156% increase in underlying earnings to US$12.2 billion.

This enabled Rio to announce a 143% increase for its interim dividend to US$3.76 per share, fully franked, as well as a special dividend of US$1.85 per share.

Now investors seemed to be initially bullish on these numbers. The Rio share price spent the following week hitting its new all-time high after all. However, it also goes without saying that this sentiment had well and truly worn off by the end of the month.

So what happened to Rio?

What went wrong with the Rio Tinto share price over August?

Well, that monster dividend that was announced had to come out of the Rio share price at some point. And that happened on 12 August when Rio shares went ex-dividend. As a result, we saw a big drop in the Rio share price (roughly 7%) when this occurred.

But that doesn't explain away Rio's near-16% drop for August. The other major factor that might have been at play over the month was commodity pricing. Specifically that of iron ore, Rio's largest earnings base.

Iron ore had an absolute shocker over August. According to Markets Insider, iron ore was asking around US$211 a tonne at the start of August. By the end of the month, this had fallen steeply to approximately US$151 a tonne. That's a loss of almost 30%. Since iron ore is Rio's primary cash cow, this dramatic fall in pricing has evidently resulted in the market revaluing Rio shares accordingly.

At the current Rio Tinto share price, this ASX 200 miner has a market capitalisation of $40.7 billion and a dividend yield of 8.23%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

These are the best ASX 200 mining shares to buy in March: Morgans

These mining shares are on Morgans' best ideas list in March.

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto share price dips despite copper mega-mine milestone

Rio Tinto owns 66% of what will soon become the world's fourth-largest copper mine.

Read more »

Miner looking at his notes.
ESG

'Not sure if that's the way we should go': Why BHP shares are making news today

BHP is trialling renewable diesel made from Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO) at its Western Australian Yandi iron ore mine.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Resources Shares

Are Fortescue shares back on the menu amid job cuts?

Can cost reductions be the key to driving Fortescue ahead?

Read more »

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain where heavy mining equipment can be seen in the background.
Resources Shares

Could buying Fortescue shares at under $22 make me rich?

The iron ore miner Fortescue has seen volatility. Is it time to buy?

Read more »

Australian Strategic Materials employee wearing a hard hat at a mine looks into the distance as he checks a folder.
Resources Shares

Sayona Mining share price dumps 6% amid lithium lows

Lithium prices have fallen to their lowest level in more than a year.

Read more »

Rede arrow on a stock market chart going down.
Resources Shares

Why are ASX 200 lithium shares falling so hard today?

The lithium carbonate price has fallen to its lowest level in more than a year.

Read more »

A young man sits at his desk with a laptop and documents with a gas heater visible behind him as though he is considering the information in front of him. about the BHP share price
Resources Shares

Why is the BHP share price taking a flogging on Friday?

The commodity growth engine may not be firing on all cylinders.

Read more »