3 catalysts that could send PayPal stock higher

Investors haven't seen the best of this digital payments powerhouse yet.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The accelerating shift toward digital transactions over the past year was a boon for PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL). Its value more than doubled in 2020, and in the first half of 2021, its stock has already gained 23%. The digital payments leader has experienced accelerating revenue growth over the last year. These three catalysts could keep the momentum going and push the stock even higher.

1. PayPal is launching a next-gen digital wallet

PayPal has been investing heavily in technology -- $2.6 billion in 2020 alone -- to develop new features for its growing base of active users -- 392 million at last count. Earlier during the pandemic, those expenditures led to the release of a new QR code tool for contactless checkout at retail stores, and this year, PayPal introduced the ability to pay for purchases with cryptocurrency. The company has been on a roll lately, and it's not slowing down. "We expect to roll out our next-generation digital wallet in Q3," CEO Dan Schulman said during May's first-quarter earnings call. He further described it as an "all-in-one personalized app" that will offer customized and unique shopping features, financial services, and new payment experiences. "Our addressable market continues to significantly expand driven by accelerating secular trends and the proactive steps we are taking to become a full commerce and payments platform," he said.

2. Crypto comes to Venmo

Venmo is on pace to generate $900 million in revenue this year, and while that's less than 4% of PayPal's business, the ability to pay using cryptocurrency via Venmo should be a huge catalyst for the peer-to-peer payments app's growth heading into 2022. PayPal launched "Checkout with Crypto" in the PayPal app at the end of March, and gave users the ability to buy, sell, or hold cryptocurrency in Venmo in April. During the Q1 earnings call, Schulman referenced the results of surveys that show 74% of millennials expect to use cryptocurrencies over the next few years in some way. Crypto buying has been a significant growth catalyst for Square's Cash app. Now, PayPal could see a similar result. "About half of crypto users open their app every day," Schulman said, signaling the impact this could have to turn Venmo into a "super app," or the only financial app users need. With more than 300,000 business profiles on Venmo, PayPal sees big opportunities to further accelerate adoption of an app that posted $51 billion in payments last quarter -- an increase of 63% year over year.

3. Earnings growth is accelerating

What's most impressive about PayPal's recent business performance is the improvement in its operating margin. In the first quarter, PayPal's operating expenses increased at a much lower rate than revenue, which allowed more money to drop down to the bottom line. This was a key factor in its 84% year-over-year rise in adjusted earnings per share. This isn't just a temporary trend. PayPal's transaction expense -- the sum of the costs it incurs when a customer makes a payment -- has declined as a percentage of total payment volume over the last three years. PayPal has also experienced slower growth in customer support expenses and has made significant headway on reducing credit losses, all of which have lowered its costs and firmed up its profits. It's remarkable that PayPal has been able to roll out so many new features -- with more on the way -- while posting healthy increases in margins and profits. Schulman believes these trends are sustainable. "[W]e would expect transaction expense to remain at lower levels [than] pre-pandemic, which, again, gives us the just amazing leverage that we have on this platform," he said. PayPal recently announced plans to raise its processing fees for some U.S. merchants starting in August, which will help it keep its operating margins up, and its earnings per share growing.

Why the stock is a buy

Analysts expect PayPal to report steady growth in operating margins over the next two years. And current estimates have PayPal posting EPS growth of 21.9% in 2021, 24.3% in 2022, and 24.6% by 2023. Many tech companies sacrifice profitability to invest in growth initiatives, but not PayPal. That's why this fintech stock is still a great buy as it inches toward new highs.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended PayPal Holdings. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2022 $75 calls on PayPal Holdings. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PayPal Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on International Stock News

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Boom! Why has Tesla stock rocketed 68% so far in 2023?

It's already been a year to remember for the electric vehicle giant.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
International Stock News

How an AI demo erased $140 billion from Alphabet stock

One error made this a costly display of Alphabet's new technology.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Share Market News

Meta stock price rockets 19% on $56 billion buyback

Meta stock has just seen one of its biggest jumps in history...

Read more »

woman looking surprised watching netflix
International Stock News

The Netflix share price just popped. Here's one way to buy in on the ASX

Here's one way to get a slice of whatever future Netflix might have.

Read more »

A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.
International Stock News

If I'd bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now?

Here's how much mind-blowing money investors have made on Tesla stock in three years...

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
International Stock News

Alphabet stock: A once-in-a-decade opportunity to outdo Warren Buffett?

Is now the time to snap up shares in the global tech giant?

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

Aussie investors are buying Tesla shares in droves. Should you?

A beaten-up stock, dramatic price cuts, and a controversial leader -- does investing in Tesla still make sense?

Read more »

Happy woman on her phone while her electric vehicle charges.
International Stock News

Should I buy Tesla stock for 2023 or not?

Is it finally time to buy Tesla stock?

Read more »