Can Netflix more than double subscribers by 2030?

One analyst is making the case for 159% growth over the coming decade.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Even in the wake of record-setting growth, it appears the best may be yet to come for Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX). As the result of widespread stay-at-home orders, the company has attracted 25.86 million new paying customers during the first six months of this year. This brought the company's total subscribers to 193 million, but that number could be dwarfed by what's yet to come.

Shares of the streaming giant got a boost today as the result of a bullish analyst note that posited that Netflix's subscriber numbers could more than double over the coming decade, climbing to between 475 million and 525 million by 2030. 

RBC Capital analyst Mark Mahaney updated his price target on Netflix to $610 per share, while reaffirming his outperform (buy) rating. The analyst estimates that Netflix is a staple in 66% of U.S. households, but its international penetration rate sits at just 29%. Mahaney expects that to change over the next 10 years, with the streaming service eventually making its way into 57% of global fixed broadband households, nearly double the current rate.

Mahaney believes that Netflix "has achieved a level of sustainable scale, growth, and profitability that isn't currently reflected in its stock price," he wrote. "We also view Netflix as one of the best derivatives off the strong growth in online video viewing and in internet-connected devices."

That's not all. Mahaney also estimates that Netflix's pricing power will enable the company to generate average revenue per user (ARPU) of between $16 and $22, as much as double the current amount of $10.80. 

The analyst became increasingly bullish in the wake of user surveys conducted in several countries. Customer satisfaction hit record highs in the U.K. and India, at 81% and 92% of users, respectively, who said they were "extremely" or "very satisfied" with Netflix.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Danny Vena owns shares of Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Netflix. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Boom! Why has Tesla stock rocketed 68% so far in 2023?

It's already been a year to remember for the electric vehicle giant.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
International Stock News

How an AI demo erased $140 billion from Alphabet stock

One error made this a costly display of Alphabet's new technology.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Share Market News

Meta stock price rockets 19% on $56 billion buyback

Meta stock has just seen one of its biggest jumps in history...

Read more »

woman looking surprised watching netflix
International Stock News

The Netflix share price just popped. Here's one way to buy in on the ASX

Here's one way to get a slice of whatever future Netflix might have.

Read more »

A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.
International Stock News

If I'd bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now?

Here's how much mind-blowing money investors have made on Tesla stock in three years...

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
International Stock News

Alphabet stock: A once-in-a-decade opportunity to outdo Warren Buffett?

Is now the time to snap up shares in the global tech giant?

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

Aussie investors are buying Tesla shares in droves. Should you?

A beaten-up stock, dramatic price cuts, and a controversial leader -- does investing in Tesla still make sense?

Read more »

Happy woman on her phone while her electric vehicle charges.
International Stock News

Should I buy Tesla stock for 2023 or not?

Is it finally time to buy Tesla stock?

Read more »