Webjet share price crashes 12% lower: Is it time to buy?

The Webjet Limited (ASX:WEB) share price was the worst performer on the ASX 200 on Thursday. Here's why it crashed lower…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The worst performer on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) on Thursday was the Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price.

The online travel agent's shares finished the day with a decline of 12% to $3.24.

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the Webjet share price crash lower?

Investors were selling Webjet's shares on Thursday following the release of its full year results for FY 2020.

The 12 months ended 30 June 2020 really were a tale of two halves for Webjet. The first half saw the company deliver record sales and profits and then the second half saw this wiped out in an instant because of the pandemic.

For example, in FY 2020 Webjet reported a 27% decline in revenue to $266.1 million. This might not seem like the worst sales result, but it's when you dig deeper that the full impact of the pandemic can be seen.

Webjet's first half revenue came to $217.8 million, which represents a massive 81.8% of its revenue for the year. Just $48.3 million of revenue was generated in the second half. And it's worth remembering that travel markets weren't truly disrupted until late February early March.

Unfortunately, things were much worse for its earnings. Webjet's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) came in at a loss of $91.3 million for the year. That's despite the company posting positive EBITDA of $46.4 million in the first half.

Admittedly, this statutory result includes a number of significant one-offs that should not repeat in FY 2021. But even if you exclude them, Webjet's EBITDA fell 80% to $26.4 million. This comprises first half EBITDA of $86.3 million and a second half EBITDA loss of $59.9 million.

The good news for shareholders is that its operating costs have now been reduced materially. On its analysts call, management stated that its cost base is now ~$11.6 million per month. Annualised this comes to just under $140 million.

The big question is, how long will it take for Webjet to be generating revenue above $140 million to breakeven? Given its exposure to the domestic leisure market and the ongoing border restrictions, I feel it is unlikely to be profitable in FY 2021.

Should you invest?

In light of the above, I wouldn't be in a rush to invest. Especially given its market capitalisation of $1.1 billion.

This market capitalisation means Webjet would have to be making a profit after tax of $55 million to be trading on a PE ratio of 20. I don't see that happening any time soon unfortunately.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A businesswoman pulls her glasses down in shock to look at the bad news on her computer.
Share Fallers

Why Bank of Queensland, Brainchip, Pilbara Minerals, and Yancoal shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are being hammered on Tuesday.

Read more »

a middle-aged woman holds up two fingers with a wide mouthed smile on her face and wide open eyes.
Share Fallers

'Top quality': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 shares to buy at a nice discount

These stocks are down but not out. One portfolio manager is convinced they'll make you richer in the long run.

Read more »

a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Share Fallers

Why Atlantic Lithium, Arafura, Brainchip, and Core Lithium shares are falling

These ASX shares are starting the week in the red.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Atlantic Lithium, CBA, Piedmont Lithium, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red.

Read more »

Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.
Share Fallers

Golden buying opportunity for 2 ASX shares slashed last month: Celeste

Here's a pair of businesses that are going pretty strong but whose stock prices are in a dip, ready now…

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why 29Metals, BHP, Helia, and Rio Tinto shares are dropping today

Here's why these ASX shares are weighing on the market's performance on Thursday.

Read more »

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.
Share Fallers

Why Nuix, Smartgroup, Ventia, and Woodside shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on the ASX boards on Wednesday.

Read more »

A woman looks distressed as she stares dramatically at her phone
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Lynas, Megaport, and Universal Store shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Tuesday.

Read more »