Why Goldmans slapped a buy rating on St Barbara shares

St Barbara Gold Ltd (ASX: SBM), Buy, hold, sell?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The St Barbara Gold Ltd (ASX: SBM) share price closed 1.2% higher at $3.22 today but still sits around 21% lower than the $3.90 per share 12-month price target slapped on it by powerful analysts at Goldman Sachs.

For the six-month period ending December 31 2018 St Barbara posted a net profit after tax of $82.6 million on revenue of $332 million that allowed it to pay out $41.6 million in dividends or 4 cents per share.

It has 524 million shares on issue to give it a market cap of $1.69 billion based on today's share price.

On March 22 2019 it updated investors on operations at its Gwalia gold mine to reveal that it anticipated total production between 235,000 to 240,000 ounces of gold in fiscal 2019, at an all in sustaining cost between $980 to $1,000 an ounce.

For fiscal 2020 it expects production between 200,000 to 220,000 ounces with production above 230,000 ounces for FY 2021 and FY 2022.

After Goldman Sachs "rebased" their assumptions for total production out of St Barbara on the back of the Gwalia mine operating update it still came up with a $3.90 price target.

St Barbara like other Australia-based gold miners such as Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) or Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) benefits at the Australian dollar falls in value. This is because a lot of the miners' operating costs are in Australian dollars, but revenues are in U.S. dollars as this is the currency physical gold is traded in.

Given analysts are tipping the RBA to cut cash rates up to twice in 2019 the local gold miners may finish the year higher than where they are today.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why Kingsgate, Neuren, Newcrest, and Pushpay shares are rising today

These ASX shares are avoiding the market selloff on Tuesday.

Read more »

A young woman wearing overalls and a yellow t-shirt kicks one leg in the air showing excitement over the latest ASX 200 shares to hit 52-week highs
Share Gainers

Why Neuren, Northern Star, Race Oncology, and Westgold shares are storming higher

These ASX shares are starting the week in a positive fashion.

Read more »

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Share Gainers

Why APM, Macquarie Telecom, Northern Star, and Origin shares are rising today

These ASX shares are having a strong session despite the market selloff.

Read more »

Two boys with cardboard rockets strapped to their backs, indicating two ASX companies with rocketing share prices
Share Gainers

Catch these fast-rising 2 ASX shares before it's too late: Celeste

This pair of stocks rocketed up in February during reporting season, but are still great value for those willing to…

Read more »

three businessmen high five each other outside an office building with graphic images of graphs and metrics superimposed on the shot.
Share Gainers

Why Arafura, Myer, Volpara, and Xero shares are zooming higher

These ASX shares are making their shareholders smile on Thursday.

Read more »

medical asx share price represented by doctor giving thumbs up
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX biotech stock just rocketed 29% on big FDA news

The ASX healthcare share is attracting investor interest following FDA approval for its targeted cancer therapy compound.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Share Gainers

Why Mesoblast, PolyNovo, Pushpay, and Weebit Nano shares are charging higher

These ASX shares are having a strong session despite the market selloff.

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why InvoCare, Pentanet, Sayona Mining, and Weebit Nano shares are storming higher

These ASX shares are having a strong session on Tuesday.

Read more »