Why OFX Group Ltd shareholders should follow the Royal Commission

OFX Group Ltd (ASX:OFX) boasts some attractive investment characteristics.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

Shares in international money transfer business OFX Group Ltd (ASX: OFX) hit a 52-week high of $2.06 this morning after the group handed in a better-than-expected trading update for the June 2018 quarter this week.

For the full year ending March 2018 OFX posted EBITDA of $29.4 million on net operating income (fee revenue) of $109.9 million, with the results being 4.6% and 7.5% higher respectively than the prior year.

At its AGM on August 7 the group also provided a trading update for the quarter ending June 30 2018 that revealed net operating income grew an impressive 13% to $30.1 million at a stable profit margin, with transaction growth also lifting 13.6%.

As a foreign exchange broker OFX earns income as a percentage of the spread on the money transfers it executes.

Typically a spread on an FX will be between 0.25% to 1.5%, whereas a bank like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) will charge you far more.

The biggest rip off of all are the airport or high-street over-the-counter cash operators that will charge wide-eyed tourists spreads close to 5% if they can get away with it.

For OFX generally the larger the transaction the thinner the spread, with enterprise clients (importers or exporters) generally earning narrower spreads as they do larger volumes than a holiday maker or business traveller for example.

The OFX platform is also easy to use and once clients are signed up they can transact online as long as they have the relevant overseas domiciled bank accounts to send and receive money.

As such the business model is scalable or has operating leverage as there's little extra cost to OFX each time a client transacts online and earns OFX fees in terms of its spread.

OFX has generally grown by taking market share from the big banks and there's plenty more room to do that, which suggests on face value that the business is quite attractive.

However, there are a couple of points to note before investors get carried away.

In my opinion the business model retains one fundamental weakness in the way client-facing staff are incentivised (remunerated) with "2-5% of the Profit derived by us on each transaction" (source: OFX Financial Services Guide).

Conflicted remuneration on general advice such as this does not align clients' interests with OFX and more importantly has been the target of regulation before via (the watered down) Future of Financial Advice Reforms (FOFA).

As an OFX investor I'd keep an eagle eye for any sign that Commissioner Hayne of the Royal Commission looks to ban this type of conflicted remuneration in response to the Commission's findings.

If this were to happen OFX might find its fee-earning business model under significant pressure. However, given the inert regulatory environment in Australia I would not be surprised if OFX is able to operate this business model indefinitely.

The other main issue for investors is via rising competition. OFX enjoyed a first mover advantage (pre IPO) in taking market share from the banks, but is now finding more competition via other discount operators and the rise of new fintech businesses such as TransferWise that are threatening to disrupt the disruptors.

Foolish takeaway

OFX is improving operationally with a strong Q1 FY 2019 trading update and has some attractive characteristics including high margins that enable it to pay decent dividends alongside a sound balance sheet. However, for me there are better risk-adjusted returns available elsewhere in the market.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on 52-Week Highs

An excited man stretches his arms out above his head as he reaches a mountain peak representing two ASX 200 shares reaching multi-year high prices today
52-Week Highs

7 ASX All Ordinaries shares smashing new 52-week highs today

These shares are making investors very happy this Thursday.

Read more »

a young girl wearing a set of airplane wings stands on a tarmac with hands in the air and an excited look on her face as though she is about to take off.
Travel Shares

Qantas share price could surge to $10: JPMorgan

Top broker tips a 30% increase in the Qantas share price within 12 months.

Read more »

Two older male friends using tech to record their run.
52-Week Highs

2 ASX 200 shares smashing new multi-year highs on Wednesday

The market's blues aren't holding back these two ASX shares.

Read more »

A kid wearing a pilot helmet holds a paper plane up to the sky.
52-Week Highs

Qantas share price takes off to new multi-year high on Tuesday

The airline is reaching new heights. Why?

Read more »

a group of three electricity workers stand smiling wearing hard hats and high visibility vests in front of an array of high voltage power equipment.
52-Week Highs

Why did the Origin share price just hit a 3-year high?

It's been a good month for Origin investors. Here's why.

Read more »

three young children weariing business suits, helmets and old fashioned aviator goggles wear aeroplane wings on their backs and jump with one arm outstretched into the air in an arid, sandy landscape.
52-Week Highs

3 ASX 300 shares soaring to new 52-week highs on Friday

All three have recently posted impressive earnings.

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a hard hat, orange high vis vest and blue long-sleeved shirt raises his fists in celebration with an excited expression on his face
52-Week Highs

Why has the Fortescue share price hit a new 52-week high today?

There are a bunch of things that could be propelling the ASX iron ore pure play share today.

Read more »

Businessman cheering at desk with arms in the air
52-Week Highs

4 ASX 200 stocks smashing new 52-week highs on Wednesday

These four shares are defying the markets to push to new heights today...

Read more »